S&P move falls flat

Ag credit agency sees little impact from downgrade

By MATEUSZ PERKOWSKI

Capital Press

A recent downgrade to the Farm Credit System's credit rating should drive up interest rates for its ag lenders and their customers.

So far, that hasn't happened.

"We're seeing the exact reverse of what we think the long-term effects might be," said Bill Dunn, policy analyst for the Farm Credit Administration, which regulates the network of system lenders.

The Farm Credit System had its top-notch rating of AAA lowered a peg to AA+ by the Standard & Poor's rating service on Aug. 8.

The move came three days after S&P similarly reduced the U.S. government's sovereign rating due to the nation's mounting debt burden.

Such downgrades should theoretically result in higher interest rates on loans as investors lower their confidence in debt securities issued by the U.S. Treasury and the Farm Credit System, financial experts say.

That's because these institutions would need to offer higher yields on their bonds as a way to attract reluctant investors. Those higher rates would then be passed on to borrowers.

Since the downgrades, however, the interest rates on such debt securities have stayed the same or fallen, experts say.

The impact of the credit downgrade has essentially been overwhelmed by investor fears about financial instability in several European countries and the stagnating economy in the U.S., said Dunn.

In other words, U.S. debt securities still look relatively stable compared to the unpredictable global outlook. Demand from investors hasn't fallen, so interest rates haven't had to rise.

"There's a lot of money that's eager to find the very safest haven," Dunn said. "They don't really care about what yields they get. They want safety, safety, safety."

Though the downgrade hasn't immediately harmed the Farm Credit System -- which has about $174 billion in outstanding agricultural loans -- it has cast a shadow on the future.

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Northwest Farm Credit Services – Ag Globe Trotter - DW Block ...

“Another factor identified by lenders that every producer reading this column should know is that reviewers, auditors, and examiners at the state and federal levels have been pressuring lenders to downgrade credits in certain commodities and regions. As a result of this, producers will be required to provide validated financial information and will be expected to have an executable plan.”

Via Northwest Farm Credit Services – Ag Globe Trotter – Weekly Edition .


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